I predict a Kris Allen win for the American Idol finals..... and that has actually NOTHING to do with the performances. Both did well, but here's why I think Kris will win:
The whole season plotted the Adam fans vs the Danny fans since everyone had them pegged as the final 2 from the get go. This late in the competition, it has less to do with who gets more vote week to week, as it does who has the stronger fan base of teenage girls texting 100s of times in the 2 hour slot.
So from last week, you had:
Fans X that voted for Adam (probably voted for him most of the season)
Fans Y that voted for Kris (probably a growing number throughout the season - picking up the fans of other contestants week to week)
Fans Z that voted for Danny (probably voted for him most of the season)
The winner is whoever gets the most of that Z amount of voters from Danny.
Break down the Danny Z fans as follows:
20% or so vote weekly for who they liked best, so they'll vote differently every week
30% or so won't vote since their boy Danny is out
remaining 50% are the ones who hold the balance of the AI Champion. And since these Danny fans have ALWAYS seen Adam as their competition since week 1, they will continue to not want Adam to win. Thus they will vote Against Adam and vote for Kris. Plus it's natural for people to root for the underdog, which is clearly Kris.
Granted voting AGAINST someone didn't help us win the 2004 presidential election in order to get Bush out of office, but I think it will for American Idol. So there's my analysis.
By the way Kara - your song sucks, but that's typical of the "new hit" that is always written for the AI final.
I had to watch the performances delayed, I was too busy watching the RedWings win in Overtime this morning while working... yeah, you heard me right. Priorities.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Monday, May 18, 2009
Catching Up On Photos
Yeah, it's been a long time since I've blogged. Part of that is trying to stay ahead at work (or catch up from being gone some lately), part of that is lacking any creativity when I come home from work. Honestly, it's hard to get back on the computer and blog some days after being on it all day long, then back on at night for my evening calls.
I've posted three picture albums on the right from the week when Brian was here visiting. We had probably the most perfect weather in 2009 to do some site seeing - just before it turned hot and humid. We spent the first 4 days in the Taipei area, so you'll see pictures of some familiar Taipei standards. We then headed south to Kenting (where Sarah and I went last December for a couple of days), but had a totally different experience! With the perfect weather, we rented some scooters and drove around the southern part of Taiwan and had a blast! The scenery is amazing down in that area, driving along the Pacific Ocean on the east side, then through the mountains. Then we returned to Taipei, then back to Hualien on the East coast to go through Taroko Gorge. This was the first time I had made it to Hualien - pictures do not do it justice! Very majestic marble mountains and river valley that we hired a driver to take the 4 of us through. We were joined by my friend/coworker Kirsten and her friend Lily.
Only one minor accident the week he was here - no, not from sledding, but from the scooter. It's been a while since I've been on anything with 2 wheels (probably 6+ years) and I forgot some basic rules of turning - and ended up hitting the curb at about 5mph while leaving the gas station. Scraped up my leg and elbow a little bit, but nothing major broken. My leg looks like it did when I last slid into 2nd base while wearing shorts. A little blood lost, a lot of pride lost, but scooter worked fine for the next 6 hours of riding around.
Enjoy the pictures - let me know if you want any clarification or stories on some of the pictures. Was truly a great week - Thanks Brian for visiting!
American Idol final week - I wasn't surprised by Kris since I thought he was the strongest performer from the final 3 performances. Should be interesting to see how they drag it out despite the fact that they will all record albums. Hopefully the finale is better than the Celebrity Apprentice finale which is causing me to think about not watching that show anymore.....
Red Wings are up 1-0 in the final 4... GO WINGS!! I'm able to watch this year with the Slingbox, so bring on the Cup!!!
Hope you all have a good week!
I've posted three picture albums on the right from the week when Brian was here visiting. We had probably the most perfect weather in 2009 to do some site seeing - just before it turned hot and humid. We spent the first 4 days in the Taipei area, so you'll see pictures of some familiar Taipei standards. We then headed south to Kenting (where Sarah and I went last December for a couple of days), but had a totally different experience! With the perfect weather, we rented some scooters and drove around the southern part of Taiwan and had a blast! The scenery is amazing down in that area, driving along the Pacific Ocean on the east side, then through the mountains. Then we returned to Taipei, then back to Hualien on the East coast to go through Taroko Gorge. This was the first time I had made it to Hualien - pictures do not do it justice! Very majestic marble mountains and river valley that we hired a driver to take the 4 of us through. We were joined by my friend/coworker Kirsten and her friend Lily.
Only one minor accident the week he was here - no, not from sledding, but from the scooter. It's been a while since I've been on anything with 2 wheels (probably 6+ years) and I forgot some basic rules of turning - and ended up hitting the curb at about 5mph while leaving the gas station. Scraped up my leg and elbow a little bit, but nothing major broken. My leg looks like it did when I last slid into 2nd base while wearing shorts. A little blood lost, a lot of pride lost, but scooter worked fine for the next 6 hours of riding around.
Enjoy the pictures - let me know if you want any clarification or stories on some of the pictures. Was truly a great week - Thanks Brian for visiting!
American Idol final week - I wasn't surprised by Kris since I thought he was the strongest performer from the final 3 performances. Should be interesting to see how they drag it out despite the fact that they will all record albums. Hopefully the finale is better than the Celebrity Apprentice finale which is causing me to think about not watching that show anymore.....
Red Wings are up 1-0 in the final 4... GO WINGS!! I'm able to watch this year with the Slingbox, so bring on the Cup!!!
Hope you all have a good week!
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Visitor From US
I finally uploaded Florida pictures on the right. You'll enjoy some beach pictures and of course pics of Sarah and I around town.
I have another guest in Taiwan this week. Mr. Pitzen decided to come enjoy the offerings of Taiwan with me for a week+ and we've been having a great time so far. Up till now, we've kicked around the usual spots in Taipei, but on Wednesday morning we're headed to the South of Taiwan for beaches and Kenting National Park. Should have more time to enjoy the scenery and (hopefully) beautiful weather.
It's been fun having someone here to entertain and makes me feel "local" since I'm the tourguide!
Anyway - hope you enjoyed your Cinco de Mayo!
I have another guest in Taiwan this week. Mr. Pitzen decided to come enjoy the offerings of Taiwan with me for a week+ and we've been having a great time so far. Up till now, we've kicked around the usual spots in Taipei, but on Wednesday morning we're headed to the South of Taiwan for beaches and Kenting National Park. Should have more time to enjoy the scenery and (hopefully) beautiful weather.
It's been fun having someone here to entertain and makes me feel "local" since I'm the tourguide!
Anyway - hope you enjoyed your Cinco de Mayo!
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